OpenAI Kills Arrakis

Plus: China Chips and Moore’s Law 

In Today’s Edition

  • Reality Defender raises $15M to detect text, video and image deepfakes

  • A founder’s guide to 2024 planning

  • Tesla announces a new date for Cybertruck delivery after missing the first one

  • Amazon says its robots will speed up delivery and definitely not replace humans

  • China Chips and Moore’s Law

  • New pill helps COVID smell and taste loss fade quickly

🚀Startups Nuts

Reality Defender, a startup focusing on detecting deepfakes, raised a $15M Series A led by DCVC. The company plans to use the funds to double its headcount from 23 employees. The company offers an API for video, audio, text, and image detection of AI modifications. Reality Defender began as a non-profit, switching to a VC-backed startup once the founders realized the commercial demand for deepfake-detecting technologies.The round included participation from Comcast, Ex/ante, AI Grant, and Parameter Ventures.

Q4 has barely started, but it already feels like everyone is already talking about 2024. Where possible, take a short-term pragmatic approach to planning. Think about each quarter or half, rather than the full year, and build a bitesize modular strategy.

🏭Business Nuts

The first deliveries of the Cybertruck will take place during an event on November 30 at the Gigafactory in Austin, Texas. Tesla aims to produce a quarter million Cybertrucks per year after 2024. The company had originally announced the Cybertruck in 2019 but its production was delayed multiple times. Other automakers have caught up and released their own electric pickup trucks since the announcement, but the Cybertruck still commands widespread interest.

Amazon is rolling out expanded robot operations at its fulfillment centers. The new robots are designed to work alongside humans instead of replacing them. They include a sortation and binning machine that moves containers from high on shelves down to workers below and autonomous robots that roll around and lift and move shelves, distribute containers, and deliver products in the building. A video of the new system is available in the article.

📱Tech Nuts

The US has tightened export controls for advanced AI chips being sold to China. The chip ban draws an arbitrary line at 10nm, but China already has the technology to develop 7nm chips. The real export control that will limit China's long-term development is one from the Netherlands that prevents EUV technology from going to China. While Moore's Law has appeared to slow down, chip transistor density continues to increase. The chip ban will not be effective in the short term, but it will widen the gap in technological ability over the long run.

OpenAI is reportedly killing Arrakis as it didn't live up to the company's expectations during training. Arrakis was a smaller model that was supposed to allow chatbots to run more efficiently and less expensively. OpenAI had started building the model long before Llama's announcement. There is a lot of demand for smaller models, especially from Microsoft, so it is likely that OpenAI will have to release a smaller model soon.

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🎁Miscellaneous

Ensitrelvir is an antiviral drug that shortens sensory problems. New clinical trial data suggests that it can be used to shorten loss of smell and taste from Covid-19. Up to 50% of people with Covid-19 experience impaired smell or taste. The drug has also been shown to shorten symptoms of Covid-19 by about a day. Ensitrelvir is currently available to individuals with mild or moderate symptoms in Japan. Its use has yet to be approved outside of Japan.

💡What else are we reading and seeing?

😎Fun Fact

The world's most valuable coin, the 1933 Double Eagle, sold for $18.9 million in 2002

🔥 Hot Book of the Day

Michael Easter, author of The Comfort Crisis and one of the world’s leading experts on behavior change, shows that the problem isn’t you. The problem is your scarcity mindset, left over from our ancient ancestors.

They had to constantly seek and consume to survive because vital survival tools like food, material goods, information, and power were scarce and hard to find.

But with our modern ability to easily fulfill our ancient desire for more, our hardwired “scarcity brain” is now backfiring.

And new technology and institutions—from dating and entertainment apps to our food and economic systems—are exploiting our scarcity brain.

They’re bombarding us with subversive “scarcity cues,” subtle triggers that lead us into low-reward cravings that hurt us in the long run.

Scarcity cues can be direct and all-encompassing, like a sagging economy. Or they can be subtle and slight, like our neighbor buying a shiny new car.

Easter traveled the world to consult with remarkable innovators and leading scientists who are finding surprising solutions for our scarcity brain.

He discovered simple tactics that can move us towards an abundance mindset, cement healthy habits, and allow us to live our lives to the fullest and appreciate what we have

“Reveals the biological and evolutionary foundations behind your brain’s fixations.”

🐦Joke of the Day

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